The Tropical Meteorology Project
is headed by
Colorado State University's
Dr. William Gray. Professor Gray has worked in the observational and theoretical
aspects of tropical meteorological research for more than 50 years. Most of this
effort has gone to the investigation of meso-scale tropical weather phenomena.
He has specialized in the global aspects of tropical cyclones for his entire
professional career. Dr Gray received his Ph.D. from the University of Chicago,
Dept. of Geophysical Sciences in 1964. He has been with Colorado State
Dept. of Atmospheric Science
since 1961, and has been a professor since 1974.
Dr. Gray's hurricane forecast has gained international attention, and won him
the Neil Frank Award of the National Hurricane Conference in 1995. His Atlantic basin hurricane forecasts are published here
. Dr. Gray's bio
(Archived forecasts are available.)
Dr. Phil Klotzbach is currently lead author on the seasonal forecasts. He has worked with Dr. Gray on these forecasts since he joined the
Department of Atmospheric Science at Colorado State University in 2000. During this time, he has also authored over two dozen peer-reviewed
journal articles on various aspects of hurricanes as well as climate change. Klotzbach received his Ph.D. from CSU in 2007. Klotzbach's bio
Seasonal Hurricane Forecasts
CSU's yearly forecasts for named storms, hurricanes and major hurricanes. Includes the current forecast and
archived forecasts dating back to 1984.
CSU's forecasts for Atlantic hurricane activity for two-week periods between August and October.
Landfalling Hurricane Probability Project
Displays probabilities of landfalling tropical cyclones along the United States coastline from Brownsville, TX to Eastport, ME. Probabilities are displayed for each coastal state, as well as for 11 regions and 205 counties and are based on the latest forecast by Dr. Gray and his team. Caribbean and Central American landfall probabilities are also available. This webpage is co-produced by the GeoGraphics Lab
, Bridgewater State University.
2016 Forecast Schedule
A table displaying the schedule for the Tropical Meteorology Project's 2016 hurricane forecasts.
Tropical Meteorology Project Forecast Verifications
Verification of CSU's seasonal hurricane forecasts in MS Excel format.
Tropical Meteorology Project Forecast Accuracy
Average error of CSU's hurricane forecasts since they began being issued in 1984.
Tropical Meteorology Project FAQ
Frequently asked questions about the Tropical Meteorology's Project seasonal hurricane forecasts.
Tropical Storm FAQ
Frequently asked questions about tropical cyclones. This webpage is maintained by Chris Landsea, Chief Science and Operations Officer at the National Hurricane Center.
Tropical Meteorology Project Publications available in PDF Format
TMP Blue Books
Tropical Meteorology Project Research Blue Books available in PDF Format
Tropical Meteorology Project Presentations available in Microsoft Powerpoint Format
Personnel listing for the Tropical Meteorology Project Team. Includes
names, contact information, and home page listings.
Copyright, privacy statement, contact information. Includes information on
the open-source solutions used to put together TMPweb.